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Diary Note /0031
Wednesday 6 March 2002
for yesterday's thoughts


A whiff of socialism

I sense a whiff of socialism in the air. No Government Minister is involved, and it probably not be called socialism. But there is, wafting in the breeze of UK public opinion, a sense that "public" may prove better than "private" after all. That sense could be decisive. Nothing more would be needed, to keep the balanceof political advantage firmly towards the Left.

Consider the evidence. The awful fragility of the corporate sector has been demonstrated by the Enron collapse, which will run for months. World insurance systems are having to held together by socialist guarantees, from Governments. World opinion is hardening against the abuse of corporate power, and the private manipulation of public institutions - in America, Europe, the World Trade Organisation, the International Monetary Fund. As the long investment boom slows down, millions are coming to realise that their private pensions are at risk, and that a decent basic state pension would be the better solution after all. Most Londoners would prefer the Underground to remain a public corporation. They also doubt the wisdom of allowing the profit motive to govern the safety of their crowded skies.

Privatisation has failed to solve the problems of the failing railways, and private bus investment is at woefully low levels. The overwhelming majority understand that, just as a socialist solution is the only way forward for the National Health Service, socialism offers the only real hope of a decent education for their grandchildren. Eton and Harrow are off the agenda. For others, the socialism of the Scots and the Welsh points the way to justice for university students. Public opinion is far more radical and coherent than the political establishment, when it comes to the repeal of drugs prohibition. The squalor of our cities is seen to require a decisive reassertion of the public realm, and the public service tradition of decent parks and open spaces, safe public streets, sensible traffic controls. Urban regeneration has been declared a charitable purpose. These judgments all reflect socialist values, and will never be delivered on, by the Tories.

Yet nobody has yet given political expression to this shift. The Old Left continues to snipe at New Labour, as if the clocks could simply be put back. The trade unions are misguidedly digging-in over the narrow issue of PFI, and could miss the breeze. The Tories, it is true, are trying to develop a human face, a softer style, and Oliver Letwin is a good egg. But they are incapable of generating the commitment to human dignity and equality that will be needed, to catch this breeze. The LibDems are flailing around, as usual, without generating either the focus, or the confidence, required of a party of government. And on the Left, there are repeated calls, all wrong-headed in my view, for a "new Party", or a "refoundation" of Labour.

It will not happen like that. Tony Blair will simply come to realise that the best pragmatic course is to adopt socialist policies. He will sense the whiff in the air. I sense that socialism is becoming practical politics, for the first time in fifty years. Tony, I predict, will learn his socialist lessons quickly,and Labour will ride to victory in the next Election.

I feel good this morning. It's the air.


Back to the Future

Let's stick with that perception. Because socialism is back on the agenda again, in the pensions field. This morning, the Institute for Public Policy Research advocates the rehabilitation of the Old Age Pension, just 21 short years after Maggie Thatcher wrecked it in 1981. Their ideas will need tweaking, but they are sound in principle. And SoS Alistair Darling is quite wrong to reject IPPR thinking out of hand
see Wednesday's Guardian

IPPR advocates a full-pension retirement age of 67, and I agree - although I would permit retirement on an abated pension at 65, to ease the transition. Equally, I favour a full-pension well above the Minimum Income support level of £125 per week: the full pension should always be pitched at 20% above the means-tested subsistence level, or else why have it all?  Check out my views

The Old Age Pension is a socialist, redistributive measure. Its rehabilitation and expansion would be a matter of undiluted socialism, of which we would all be very proud. For provided all citizens contribute what they can afford, over their working lives, each citizen receives the same Basic Pension upon retirement. That is basic, practical, visceral socialism - yet it has become so deeply embedded in our collective pysche that it may not be recognised as "socialist" at all! I doubt if even Ian Duncan-Smith even understands its true significance.

I would go further. I would also introduce state-backed supplementary personal savings, which would be financed solely by additional voluntary contributions, with the State guaranteeing (say) a 5% cumulative interest-rate. The principle is already established with Pensioners' Savings Bonds, and it is a sound one. These savings would be entirely discretionary, for each individual to decide. The Treasury would be free to invest the contributions as it thought best, but would in all circumstances have to stand by the minimum interest guarantee. Those savings could either be taken out as a lump-sum upon retirement, or be commuted to a supplementary state pension.

And these rights would be contractual - Labour would not make the same mistake as with the post-War Welfare State, which was a leaky-as-a-sieve in legal terms, and wide-open to evisceration by Thatcher in the 1980s. We would get it right, this time.

PS Alistair Darling has long been committed to ditching the Old Age Pension, as has the New Labour clique. Even before the 1997 Election, I was present at a Labour meeting at the Commons when he dismissed out of hand the possibility of rehabilitating the Old Age Pension. So he is being wholly consistent. But in my view he was wrong then, and he is wrong now. Means-testing millions of pensioners, just to enable them to secure the most basic living-standards, is wrong in principle, lacks any sense of human dignity, and is politically unsustainable. Alistair Darling should take a deep breath, sense the breeze, and think again.
What do you think? Drop me a line.
  Publication days: I've been asked to explain when each new Diary page is published > twice a week is becoming the pattern, one roughly Midweek and one roughly Weekend - cannot be more precise than that - thanks for keeping in touch - Roger WE

Post Office principles

The Royal Mail should be retained as a public corporation, running a public service monopoly. I am reinforced in this view by the words of the most extreme Liberal I have ever known.

"Extreme Liberal?" I hear you cry? Yes indeed. He was a old friend of my father's, Carmarthen MP David Hopkin Morris, a Liberal who rose to become Deputy Speaker, Chairman of Ways & Means, in the 1950s. Hopkin Morris was a real Old-Testament figure, with shoulder-length white hairand a pretentious full-length black velvet cloak. "Roger - " he once boomed to me - "the only things the State should run are - " (he had the infuriating habit of pausing deliberately, to attract attention and savour the moment ) " - are the Police and the Post Office". Faced with the Welfare State of post-WW2, he rejected it all - state education, the NHS, social benefits, no good would come of them. Only the Police and the Post Office escaped his old-liberal anarchism. Communications, and law and order - they represented the proper role of the State.

I moved on to become a professional manager, a socialist managing director, convinced of man's capacity to improve his lot by imaginative and astute organisation, legis lation and public intervention. I rejected Hopkin Morris' old Liberalism, which still infects the LibDems. But on the Post Office, I agree with him.


Small Business?
No thank you

Many a true word is spoken light-heartedly. And the Halifax has been rightly pilloried for the action of its Manchester Manager David Stringer, who left a training flip-chart in full view of the public. It explained to eager young Halifax management trainees, that when going for new accounts -
"We do not want taxi-drivers,window-cleaners, stall-holders, business start-ups, businesses dealing in coins"
He was duly reprimanded, and the Halifax rightly ridiculed. But he spoke the truth. Having spent six years of my life promoting new-business formation in my home city of Swansea (1979-1985) I know his words to be true. The big banks (of which platoon the Halifax is now, sadly, a member) simply cannot afford to service small businesses. They make a song-and-dance of doing so, in all the TV ads, purely as a loss-leader and to earn Brownie points. But tinkers, tailors and candlestick-makers cannot possibly maintain the major corporate bankers at the income-levels to which they have become accustomed. Nor can they afford solicitors, or chartered accountants. Some Banks now actually charge small businesspeople for the dubious advantage of meeting with a bank-manager in person...

We are in the presence of yet another paradox. It is only the public sector which can provide the support services (advice, small-grants, suitable premises) which the start-up business so desparately needs. In Wales, local authorities and the Welsh Development Agency are the only ones to whom the business starter can turn. The Banks are broken reeds - they are now, and they always have been. They have other, bigger, corporate fish to fry. I wish David Stringer, the Manchester Halifax Manager, the very best in his future career. He should be promoted, not reprimanded. But next time, he should remember to pull down the blinds.


Jungle News IV

This special edition of News from the Corporate Jungle comes from Italy - you will know by now that I regard EU matters as "Home Affairs", and I want to see a separate Secretary of State for Europe appointed, leaving the rest of the "foreign" world to Jack Straw. There's nothing foreign to me, about Italy. It's just a province of our common European home. And the trusty FT carries an ordinary report of an Italian Administrative Court ruling (just as if it were Highgate Magistrates Court..) which casts light upon the bewildering entanglement of the corporate thicket. Have you got a moment?

Let me explain.The question was "Should Pirelli, in filing its 2001 Accounts with the Italian Companies House, be required to show on its Balance Sheet the debts of Olivetti?" A simple question, on the face of it. But it lifted the corner of the corporate blanket for a moment, to reveal the turmoil beneath. This is how it worked.

Pirelli planned to report a respectable 2001 profit of £170m. But it turned out that they had a 60% subsidiary, Olimpia, which normally would have to be accounted-for along with the parent company, in a single consolidated Balance Sheet. However, Olimpia in turn owned 27% of Olivetti - and therein lay the problem. Because Olivetti in turn owned 55% of Telecom Italia, and that company had huge losses. Again, applying "normal" accounting rules, those losses would have to be shown in Olivetti's 2001 Accounts (with 55% of Telecom, Olivetti clearly controlled that company).

But that would have been a consolidation too far. Pirelli argued that although they did own 60% of Olimpia, that company had a special constitution which allowed minority shareholders a veto (clever stuff, huh?), therefore Pirelli did not really control Olimpia, and the losses should therefore not be shown in the Pirelli balance-sheet.

The Italian Court was being asked to rule on whether or not Pirelli had successfully evaded all normal, honest, accounting principles. The Court decided that they had, and that the ruse was legal. Companies House plans to appeal.

But here's the scary bit. If Pirelli have to include in their Accounts "their share" of the Telecom losses, it would - "at a stroke" - transform their £170m profit into a £210m loss. That's the scary world of Enron. Which is the reality? Have you got any Pirelli shares?

Earlier >>
Jungle News III  
Jungle News II
Jungle News I

Not reached today, but to follow - housing, social housing, planning for more houses - continuing disarray on Regional Devolution - the resurgence of trade union militancy - blacklisting tax havens - watch this space


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