Labour is panicking over immigration. We have lost our sense of
perspective. The so-called moves to the Right on the Continent are
taking their toll. UK politicians, including Government Ministers, strive
to be seen as "tough on immigration", and that means voicing a degree of
intolerance of foreigners. On immigration, the hawks vastly
outnumber the doves.
Leaks from Downing Street about using the Royal Navy to intercept
bogus asylum-seekers in the Mediterranean are sadly believable, if essentially
absurd. The barmy Blunkett Plan to build a new generation of super
detention centres (which do not legally detain at all, you understand) is
taken seriously. Under electoral pressure, Labour is losing perspective.
This panic is demeaning, a failure of political imagination.
Several commentators this Sunday, including Andrew Rawnsley in The
Observer, have pilloried on the Government'a populist reaction. And David Blunkett is praised by Lord Tebbitt
- these are dark days. By seeking electoral approval for their "toughness on immigration", our leaders promote internal ethnic tensions.
And the reduce the "political space" available for the expression of decent,
balanced, humane views of the process.
The right course
for Labour is to embark straight away on a diplomatic campaign for an international, humane, framework capable of working for the modern world as a whole.
There is no
point in striving for a mere "European" solution: Fortress Europe
would be no better than Fortress Britain. Only a humane, UN-wide solution will do.
We should gather our composure, and start thinking. I suggest
our analysis should run like this.
First: Acknowledge that recent election results, both on here
and on the Continent, confirm that disruptive migration is considered by the
electorate to be a major problem - even though the statistics tell a different
story. Such apprehensions should not be ignored
or minimised. And it is wrong to categorise a resentment of
immigration as a swing "to the Right": it is a common perception, across much of
the electorate (and among Labour Party members, as among others).
It is that perception which must be addressed, as must the underlying migratory
pressures.
Second: a modern society must be statistically equipped to put
population-change into perspective, with reliable up-to-date data. This
argues for the abandonment of the cumbersome full-enumeration ten-year Census
(operated since 1801, long before the emergence of modern statistical reasoning)
and the introduction of an annual 10% Sample Survey, which
would be equally authoritative for many purposes. With a Census Date of (say) 1
March, it should be possible to have basic data available by 1 October in each
year. Economical solutions should be available, by combining this Survey
with other regular investigations. The coming debate must develop a numerical dimension, and the
numbers must be reliable.
Third: UN multilateral treaty agreement should be sought upon a
Common Migratory Reception Rate, namely a percentage of each State's
preceding year's population which it would be reasonable for that State to
accept within the ensuing year. This would relate to overall immigration,
not merely to the accommodation of political refugees, "asylum seekers". The UN should seek agreement upon a
common percentage (e.g. one-half of one percent per annum) which every
State would be committed by treaty to accept. This would ensure that the
electorate of each State could rely on the other States' accepting a common
reception commitment.
This would reduce internal tensions, and provide a clear framework for the
long-term international management of migration.
Fourth: The UN (through the UN High Commission for Refugees, UNHCR)
should be given responsibility for making all asylum adjudications, by way
of a new system of international tribunals. This would remove from each signatory State
the responsibility for making its own separate adjudications. And it would be for
the UNHCR to "place" confirmed asylum-seekers with signatory States,
within the limits of their CMRR, and to ensure the honourable
repatriation of unsuccessful applicants.
Such an international framework would reduce the threat of ethnic
conflict, and minimise internal ethnic tensions. These reforms would have to be
combined with the revision of rights-of-abode and the laws of full citizenship.
That is an even broader issue, which I will return.
Your thoughts?
Drop me a line
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