Probably.
But it is significant that, for someone like me, that is now the question. I was shocked to
watch him dealing, on TV, with the Press allegations about the Queen Mother’s
Funeral. He looked a haunted man. And I think he is.
The blame does not lie
with the cynical media, or with the malicious, mischievous Tory press.
They have not changed their spots. Charles Clark was quite wrong to take a
pop at them. No -Tony Blair is haunted, I believe, by his own record,
culminating in this awful manifestation of public distrust. I have no doubt that he
was genuinely mortified at the media’s success in blowing up this story.
The problem for Blair
is that, faced with the media attack, the public believed the innuendo. I
certainly believed it, didn’t you? I thought to myself “That’s just the sort
of silly game that Downing Street would
play..” And I followed the story, just as everyone else did.
There was nobody immediately protesting - “You cannot be serious!
That cannot possibly be true!” We all believed that it was possible,
thinkable.
Therein lies the true
tragedy
of Tony Blair’s position. That realisation
must have been deeply wounding, to him personally. And it was that wound, I fancy, that I saw
in his harrowed TV face. For like every tragic hero, he has brought this
disbelief upon himself, by his preoccupation with image management and with “spin”. His Faustian deal with Campbell and Mandelson has
brought him to this sorry pass, in the eyes of his own people. His credibility is at a very low ebb.
Can he recover?
On the one hand, this seems a fanciful question. Labour has a huge Commons majority, and
he has only one, quiescent, challenger. But the question is a deeper one.
Can he
sustain the personal self-confidence to continue, after such a dramatic
demonstration of public suspicion and mistrust? That
is the key question.
Again, my answer is Yes, probably, though it will be a close-run thing. And if he is to
recover a position of trust in time for the 2005 Election, he must make a start now.
There's no time to lose.
Do you share my concerns?